December 5, 2022
SINGAPORE – Russia on Saturday denounced a US$60 price cap on its oil agreed by the EU, Group of 7 and Australia, even as Ukraine suggested it was not tough enough and might have to be revisited.
“We will not accept this price cap,” Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told domestic news agencies, adding that Russia, the world’s second-largest crude exporter, was “analysing” the move.
The US$60 oil price cap will come into effect on Monday or soon after, alongside an EU embargo on maritime deliveries of Russian crude oil.
The embargo will prevent seaborne shipments of Russian crude to the European Union, which account for two thirds of the bloc’s oil imports from Russia, potentially depriving Russia’s war chest of billions of euros.
But while Kyiv welcomed the price cap earlier on Saturday, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said in his evening address that the level set was not “serious” as it would not do enough damage to the Russian economy.
“Russia has already caused huge losses to all countries of the world by deliberately destabilising the energy market,” he argued in his nightly address, describing the decision on the price cap as “a weak position”.
It is “only a matter of time when stronger tools will have to be used”, Mr Zelensky added.
The G-7 nations – Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States – along with Australia have already said they are prepared to adjust the price ceiling if necessary.
The cap stops countries paying more than US$60 a barrel for Russian oil deliveries by tanker vessel and is designed to make it harder for Russia to bypass EU sanctions by selling beyond the European Union at market prices.
Limit funds for the ‘war machine’
Mr Zelensky, in his speech, appeared to be backing the position that Poland had tried to hold out for before agreeing to the US$60 ceiling late on Friday. Warsaw and the Baltic states had argued for a US$30 cap.
The market price of a barrel of Russian Urals crude is currently around US$65 dollars, just slightly higher than the US$60 cap agreed, suggesting the measure may have only a limited impact in the short term.
The G-7 said it was delivering on its vow “to prevent Russia from profiting from its war of aggression against Ukraine, to support stability in global energy markets and to minimise negative economic spillovers of Russia’s war of aggression”.
The White House described the cap as “welcome news” that would help limit Russian President Vladimir Putin’s ability to fund the Kremlin’s “war machine”.
Russia has threatened to stop deliveries to countries adopting the measure.
Russia has earned €67 billion (S$95 billion) from the sale of oil to the European Union since the start of the war in February.
Its annual military budget amounts to around €60 billion, said Mr Phuc-Vinh Nguyen, an energy expert at the Institut Jacques-Delors in Paris.
The EU embargo on seaborne deliveries follows a decision by Germany and Poland to stop taking Russian oil via pipeline by the end of 2022.
In all, more than 90 per cent of Russian deliveries to the European Union will be hit, according to the bloc.
‘Endure’ power cuts
On the ground, Russian forces carried out strikes in the east of Ukraine on Saturday, hitting a “civilian infrastructure facility” in the eastern city of Kramatorsk, the Ukrainian army said.
After suffering humiliating defeats during what has become the largest armed conflict in Europe since World War II, Russia began targeting Ukrainian energy infrastructure in October.
Ukraine is desperately trying to restore electricity as temperatures drop across the country. Russia has escalated its attacks on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure and power grid. The government says it has only half the energy it needs. pic.twitter.com/VUO9E4w7ru
— CBS Saturday Morning (@cbssaturday) November 26, 2022
The strikes have caused sweeping blackouts, and cut off water supplies and heating to civilians at a time when the temperature in some regions has dropped to minus 5 deg C.
The authorities have introduced scheduled power cuts several times a day to keep essential infrastructure working.
Crossing streets without traffic lights becomes a quest in Odesa in the evening hours. A week after Russia's massive attack on Ukraine's energy infrastructure, the city is still recovering, with no electricity for most of the day. pic.twitter.com/0IrGKeWuWK
— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) November 29, 2022
In eastern Ukraine, where the fighting is still raging, the governor of Luhansk region, Mr Sergei Gaidai, said the conflict was heavy, “because the Russians had time to prepare”. Ukraine’s forces were nevertheless slowly moving forward, he added.
Ukraine’s presidency said the situation was also difficult in Bakhmut, in the neighbouring Donetsk region, which Russian forces have been trying to capture since the summer.
On Saturday, the governor of the southern region of Mykolaiv, Mr Vitaly Kim, urged citizens to “endure” the electricity shortages.
Mr Putin on Friday told Germany’s Chancellor Olaf Scholz the Russian strikes, which have destroyed close to half of the Ukrainian energy system, were an “inevitable response to Kyiv’s provocative attacks on Russia’s civilian infrastructure”.
He was referring in particular to the October attack on a bridge linking Moscow-annexed Crimea to the Russian mainland.
Mr Putin accused the West of carrying out “destructive” policies in Ukraine, the Kremlin said, stressing that Western political and financial aid meant Kyiv “completely rejects the idea of any negotiations”.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has ruled out talks with Russia while Mr Putin is in power, after the Kremlin claimed to have annexed several Ukrainian regions.
The Kremlin also said on Saturday that Mr Putin would “in due time” visit the Donbas region of eastern Ukraine, which he claims to have annexed. But Mr Peskov gave no indication of when this could happen. AFP